| |
n-Butanol
|
PRODUCER |
CAPACITY* |
|
BASF, Freeport, Tex. |
460 |
|
Celanese, Bay City, Tex. |
495 |
|
Dow, Taft, La. |
600 |
|
Dow, Texas City, Tex. |
560 |
|
Eastman, Longview, Tex. |
290 |
|
Total |
2,405 |
*Millions of pounds per year. Most commercial production
involves the hydrogenation of n-butyraldehyde made through the Oxo process,
in which syngas is reacted with propylene.
In 1999, Union Carbide doubled the butanol capacity at
Taft, La., to 600 million pounds per year. Dow Chemical Company acquired
Union Carbide Corporation in early 2001, and with it, the plants in Taft and
Texas City, Tex.
SASOL acquired CONDEA Vista from
RWE-DEA
AG in 2001, and with it, CONDEA’s facility at Lake Charles, La.,
which produces 13 million pounds per year of n-butanol; all for the merchant
market.
At the end of last year, Shell Chemical withdrew from the
merchant oxo alcohols market in North, South and Central America. Shell had
produced n-butanol at Deer Park, Tex., in a unit rated at 145 million pounds
per year.
Profile last published 7/5/99; this revision 10/28/02.
DEMAND
2000: 1,760 million pounds; 2001: 1,800 million pounds; 2005: 2,025 million
pounds, projected. Demand equals production plus imports (2000: 0.5 million
pounds; 2001: 0.4 million pounds) less exports (2000: 360 million pounds; 2001:
440 million pounds).
GROWTH
Historical (1996 - 2001): 4.5 percent per year; future: 3.0 percent per year
through 2005.
PRICE
Historical (1996 - 2001): High, $0.55 per pound, list, tanks, dlvd.; low,
$0.50, same basis. Current: $0.55, same basis. Market pricing is $0.35 to $0.45,
same basis.
USES
Butyl acrylate and methacrylate esters, 46 percent; glycol ethers, 25
percent; butyl acetate, 15 percent; direct solvent use, 7 percent; plasticizers,
2 percent; miscellaneous, including amino resins and butylamines, 5 percent.
STRENGTH
n-Butyl acrylate and n-butyl methacrylate comprise nearly half of n-butanol’s
demand. The drivers for both of these are emulsified and solution polymers used
in latex surface coatings and enamals and lacquers. These are water-based
systems, which have benefited in recent years from the trend to move away from
solvent-born coating systems. The consumption of these coatings is heavily
dependent on construction and remodeling/maintenance activities. Future growth
is forecast for 4 percent per year.
WEAKNESS
The use of n-butanol as a direct solvent has been moderated by trends toward
higher solids content and waterborne coatings and powder coatings. This
application area is showing decline. In amino resins, n-butanol acts as an
alkylating agent to reduce inherent brittleness. The alkylated resins are used
in coatings for automobiles, appliances, coil, machinery and metal furniture.
Here again, these coating formulations are loosing market share to water-based
and powder coatings.
OUTLOOK
n-Butanol demand is projected at 3 percent annually for the forecast period,
with demand being led by butanol derived esters used in water-based coatings and
adhesives. Operating capacity is better than 90 percent at this time and without
any new capacity announcements, the supply side is looking tight in two years
time. Offsetting this somewhat, will be reduced exports as new overseas n-butanol
capacity is coming on-stream is the Middle East and Southeast Asia. Butanol
pricing is influenced by the cost of propylene, which is comparatively high at
the present, and will likely go higher with the anticipated increasing of crude
oil prices.
HISTORICAL DATA
|
Year |
Demand
Millions of Pounds |
Price
$/Pound, list, tanks, dlvd. |
|
1996 |
1,445 |
0.50 |
|
1997 |
1,545 |
0.50 |
|
1998 |
1,645 |
0.50 |
|
1999 |
1,690 |
0.50 |
|
2000 |
1,760 |
0.55 |
|
2001 |
1,800 |
0.55 |
|