| |
Cumene
|
PRODUCER |
CAPACITY* |
|
Chevron Philips Chemical, Port Arthur, Tex. |
990 |
|
Citgo Petroleum, Corpus Christi, Tex. |
1,100 |
|
Coastal Eagle Point, Westville, N.J. |
140 |
|
Georgia Gulf, Pasadena, Tex. |
1,500 |
|
JLM Chemicals, Blue Island, Ill. |
145 |
|
Koch Petroleum, Corpus Christi, Tex. |
1,500 |
|
Marathon Ashland Petroleum, Catlettsburg,
Ky. |
800 |
|
Shell Chemical, Deer Park, Tex. |
1,100 |
|
Sunoco, Philadelphia, Pa. |
1,200 |
|
Total |
8,475 |
*Millions of pounds cumene (isopropylbenzene).
All commercial production of cumene is via catalytic alkylation of benzene with
propylene. Historically, solid phosphoric acid (SPA) on an alumina support was
used as the catalyst, but since the mid-1990s, zeolite-based catalysts have
largely displaced SPA.
Frontier Oil recently closed the 150
million-pound per year cumene unit (and phenol) at El Dorado, Kans., as the
first step in increasing gasoline output. Texaco Refining and Marketing
originally owned the refinery. In 1997, the plant became part of Equilon, a
joint venture between Shell Oil Products and Texaco Refining and Marketing.
Frontier bought the refinery in 1999.
Chevron Corporation and Phillips Petroleum
Company plan merged their chemical operations into a 50-50 joint venture in
2000. The new entity is called Chevron Phillips Chemical Co.
Sunoco is planning a debottlenecking project at
Philadelphia that should add another 150 million pounds of capacity by 2004.
Profile last published 3/22/99; this revision,
5/20/02.
DEMAND
2000: 7.67 billion pounds; 2001: 6.89 billion pounds; 2005: 7.76 billion
pounds, projected. Demand equals production less exports (2000: 254 million
pounds; 2001: 215 million pounds). Imports are negligible.
GROWTH
Historical (1996 - 2001): 2.9 percent per year; future: 3.0 percent per year
through 2005.
PRICE
Historical (1996 - 2001): High, $0.247 per pound, contract, Gulf, tanks,
works; low, $0.157, same basis. Current: $0.193, same basis.
USES
Phenol/acetone, 98 percent; alpha-methylstyrene, 2 percent.
STRENGTH
The shift to zeolite-based catalysts in recent years has had a major impact
on cumene production. Conversion to a zeolite-based process allows for gains in
product purity, overall yield and production capacity, by allowing a much lower
benzene:propylene feed ratio to operate. The effect has been to grow the
installed capacity base without installing new hardware.
WEAKNESS
Ninety-eight percent of cumene is consumed for the production of phenol and
acetone. Therefore, demand for cumene is strongly tied to the phenol market. The
phenol and acetone markets, however, continue to be hurt by overcapacity, flat
pricing and weak demand. The market is yet another casualty of the global
economic downturn as demand for bisphenol-A, the leading use for phenol, is down
from reduced demand for polycarbonate and epoxy resins. Despite reduced
operating rates, producers are expected to struggle until the economy turns
around and demand improves. The recession has led to a decline in demand for
polycarbonate and epoxy resins, which both consume bisphenol-A, the leading end
use for phenol. Before 2001, US polycarbonate had been enjoying growth of almost
5 percent per year. Phenol demand depends on economic recovery, and
consequently, so does cumene.
OUTLOOK
Demand for cumene fell sharply last year, due to the collapse in phenol
demand. With the improving economy this year, phenol’s derivatives will begin
a new market pull that will translate into a return to growth for cumene. US
cumene demand is projected to grow at 3 percent annually, through 2005. With the
exception of Sunoco as noted above, the significant cumene capacity additions
will take place in the Asia-Pacific region (1.14 billion pounds) and Europe (638
million pounds) during the next three years.
HISTORICAL DATA
|
Year |
Demand
Billions of Pounds |
Contract Price*
Gulf, tanks, works
¢/Pound |
|
1996 |
5.98 |
18.0 |
|
1997 |
6.25 |
19.7 |
|
1998 |
6.25 |
15.7 |
|
1999 |
6.51 |
16.1 |
|
2000 |
7.67 |
24.7 |
|
2001 |
6.89 |
21.4 |
|